What is Thucydides Trap and why did Xi Jinping mention it in his meeting with Donald Trump?

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A messy warfare successful nan Middle East. Tensions successful Taiwan. When nan leaders of nan world’s 2 superpowers met successful Beijing this week, these were nan flashpoints everyone expected they would talk about.

Instead, Chinese leader Xi Jinping threw another, ancient war, into nan mix.

In his opening remarks connected Thursday, Xi made reference to nan Peloponnesian War successful ancient Greece, a decades agelong conflict that erupted betwixt Athens and Sparta successful 431BC.

In a changeable crossed nan front of hegemonic rivalry, Xi asked:

“Can China and nan United States transcend nan alleged ‘Thucydides Trap’ and forge a caller paradigm for major-power relations?”

What is nan Thucydides Trap?

A staple of overseas argumentation commentary, including by Trump’s erstwhile main strategist Steve Bannon, nan Thucydides Trap refers to nan thought that erstwhile a rising powerfulness threatens to displace an established one, nan consequence is often war.

“It was nan emergence of Athens and nan fearfulness that this instilled successful Sparta that made warfare inevitable,” Thucydides wrote successful his book, nan History of nan Peloponnesian War.

Just arsenic Athens erstwhile warred pinch Sparta, nan accusation is that China’s emergence provokes worry and imaginable conflict pinch nan US.

Observers person noted that Xi has utilized nan word for years, but deploying nan classical reference during Trump’s sojourn whitethorn beryllium person been a foreshadowing of his position connected Taiwan.

The Chinese leader later warned Trump that immoderate missteps connected Taiwan could push their 2 countries into “conflict”.

“The Taiwan mobility is nan astir important rumor successful China-US relations,” Xi said, of nan aforesaid governing land that China claims arsenic its own.

“If mishandled, nan 2 nations could collide aliases moreover travel into conflict, pushing nan full China-US narration into a highly perilous situation,” he added.

But astatine a authorities banquet successful nan evening nan Chinese leader struck a much conciliatory note, insisting nan US and China could negociate nan seemingly inevitable friction.

“Achieving nan awesome rejuvenation of nan Chinese federation and making America awesome again tin wholly spell manus successful manus … and beforehand nan wellbeing of nan full world,” Xi said.

Responding connected societal media Trump said that Xi had “very elegantly referred to nan United States arsenic possibly being a declining nation”.

Of course, though, that was not a reference to nan US nether his watch, Trump said.

“Two years ago, we were, successful fact, a Nation successful decline,” Trump posted connected societal media early connected Friday.

“Now, nan United States is nan hottest Nation anyplace successful nan world, and hopefully our narration pinch China will beryllium stronger and amended than ever before!”

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Source theguardian.com
theguardian.com