Phillies vs. Marlins betting preview: Aaron Nola's struggles meet Sandy Alcantara's home ERA edge

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I took 2 losses yesterday, and some were connected coinflip games. I acknowledged that successful some articles, and unfortunately, we couldn't get nan games to bounce our way. Neither 1 of nan games was a blowout nonaccomplishment aliases bad choices. The teams conscionable didn't get nan wins that I was expecting them to get. Instead, we mislaid some games 3-2. Let america effort to dodge that destiny present arsenic we return connected nan Phillies and Marlins.

The Philadelphia Phillies look to person cooled disconnected a spot aft their basking stretch. They aren't playing poorly by immoderate means, but they conscionable aren't rather arsenic successful arsenic they had been. In July, they are conscionable 9-12 and person mislaid 5 of their past six games. Maybe they conscionable request to find a groove aft nan All-Star Break because they person gone 3-7 successful nan 2nd half. Two of those wins person travel successful games that Christopher Sanchez has started.

Aaron Nola tosses rosin bag

Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola tosses nan rosin container during nan 3rd inning of a shot crippled against nan Miami Marlins, Sunday, July 9, 2023, successful Miami. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)

The Phillies person a spot of a problem pinch their rotation. Overall, nan squad has a 4.25 ERA, and that is pinch Sanchez and Zach Wheeler owning a sub-three ERA. Today they nonstop retired Aaron Nola, who has struggled rather a spot this season. For nan year, Nola is conscionable 3-8 pinch a 5.82 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. He does person 112 strikeouts this season, which is bully for somewhat much than 1 strikeout per inning. He besides has been a small amended connected nan road, but still has a 5.06 ERA. Arguably, his champion outing of nan play came against nan Marlins erstwhile he went six innings, allowed 5 hits, and nary runs. Overall, though, nan Marlins are hitting .300 against him successful 40 at-bats.

Miami Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara pitching during a shot crippled astatine Dodger Stadium

Miami Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara pitches during nan 4th inning against nan Los Angeles Dodgers astatine Dodger Stadium successful Los Angeles, Calif., connected April 29, 2026. (Kiyoshi Mio/Imagn Images)

The Miami Marlins are now conscionable beneath .500, but still making bully advancement this year. The All-Star Break proved to beryllium a problem for nan squad because since they returned to action, nan Marlins are conscionable 1-9, being swept successful each of nan first 3 bid post-break. They did triumph yesterday to threat nan streak, and I deliberation this squad is susceptible to bad stretches considering they are young and figuring things out. There does look to beryllium bully talent connected nan roster, though.

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I haven't mentioned what they will do astatine the waste and acquisition deadline because this caller streak might've changed them from buyers to sellers. That intends that this could beryllium nan past commencement for Sandy Alcantara. This has been a spot of a mixed container play for Alcantara. For nan year, he is 10-6 pinch a 4.01 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. He owns a 3.26 location ERA, though, truthful Miami should consciousness assured pinch him connected nan hill. He has allowed only 24 earned runs astatine location and 13 of those came successful 2 starts. He did look nan Phillies earlier this twelvemonth and allowed 2 earned runs successful six innings of work.

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara pitching during a crippled astatine loanDepot Park

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara pitches against nan Cincinnati Reds successful nan first inning astatine loanDepot Park successful Miami, Fla., connected April 7, 2026. (Rhona Wise/Imagn Images)

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I for illustration nan Marlins' chances coming to triumph different game. The Phillies haven't been playing awesome baseball, and Nola has not had nan twelvemonth to see him a stopper. However, nan point is that nan Marlins mightiness beryllium playing moreover worse baseball. Perhaps it was a bad stretch, and they will beryllium fine. I will backmost Miami successful this one. I besides for illustration Alcantara to grounds complete 17.5 outs successful nan game, but astatine -163, you tin find little juicy options.

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For much sports betting accusation and plays, travel David connected X/Twitter: @futureprez2024

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